RUTO’S CALCULATED PLAN TO STATE HOUSE: A game of numbers

There is no doubt that Ruto will be in the ballot for 2022 presidential elections. What has been on the minds of his supporters is his preparedness in getting the top seat. Three years ago his win was indisputable but from wearing matching uniforms with the President to now throwing jibes at each other in public the path is in doubt.

Challyh News has unearthed the key strategies that Ruto is using to win the race to state house. Ruto became MP on December 1997 by defeating Ruben Chesire. This was approximately five years after Moi had allegedly given him 34 million Kenyan shillings to recruit him as a co-leader of YK-92.

From 1992 to now, the once chicken seller has been calculative in his political battles and remains undefeated so far. He currently occupies the second most top seat in the country and in two years time he will fight his biggest political fight of his lifetime. He will be looking to succeed President Uhuru Kenyatta and become the second Kenyan from the Rift Valley region to occupy the top seat.

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Ruto’s game of numbers

1. Rift Valley

Rift Valley comprises of the most voters in Kenya according to 2017 figures. At 4,649,768 voters the numbers warms Ruto’s heart. Being his home region, Ruto aims garnering at least 80% of the votes.

2. Central Region

Central region have never voted as a block for someone outside central region. In 1992 the first time Kenya had multi party presidential elections, the Late Kenneth Matiba got majority of votes. Central region would go on to vote to Kibaki en masse in 1997, 2002 and 2007 presidential elections. In a space of 5 years, central region would vote for the son of our founding father a staggering three times.

Ruto knowing that and the lack of a strong candidate from Central region in 2022, he is well armed to capitalise on the vacuum. He has a loyal lieutenant in Moses Kuria the man who made sure the country voted in Uhuru Kenyatta as a birthday present. Ruto is aiming to win at least 1.5 million votes of the total 2,910, 465.

3. Eastern Region

Ruto knows that the leader of lower eastern Kalonzo Musyoka would not deputise Raila for a third term. There has been concealed animosity between the two emanating from the self swearing in to the infamous handshake. With half of 2,097,105 votes coming from Ukambani, Ruto is aiming to reap big.

4. Coast Region.

Raila is the undisputed king of Coast Province. What many political newbie analysts fail to see is that Raila’s love from the Coast region is as a result of their hate for subsequent governments. The Coast region feels marginalized and hence their support for opposition. If Raila was to be endorsed by Uhuru Kenyatta this would potentially see him lose as much as half of the total 1,164,984 votes.

5. Nairobi

Nairobi boasts of 2.2 million voters and Ruto has invested heavily to to bring those votes home. That would explain his relationship with Mike Sonko who garnered more votes than the president in the capital.

6. North Eastern region

North Eastern province has 354061 registered voters. Hon Duale has been tasked with the homestretch task of making sure he brings the +1 votes that would make sure the country does not go for a repeat election.

As per now, the Deputy President has one foot in the State House and his supporters are waiting in anticipated breath to see if he will walk that last mile or he will be painfully overtaken at the finish line.