President William Ruto’s United Democratic Alliance (UDA) has reclaimed its position as Kenya’s most popular political party, while support for the Orange Democratic Movement (ODM) has suffered a dramatic decline, according to a national opinion poll released on Thursday by TIFA Research.
The November 2026 survey indicates a major realignment in the country's political landscape less than a year before the August 2027 General Election. UDA’s popularity surged by eight percentage points over the past five months, climbing from 17 per cent in June 2026 to 25 per cent. This rebound places the ruling party back at the summit of national party standings, recovering steadily from a low of 15 per cent recorded in late 2025.
Conversely, ODM experienced the steepest drop among major political outfits. Its approval rating was cut in half, plummeting from 20 per cent in June to just 10 per cent. The sharp downturn pushes the long-standing opposition party into third place, overtaken by the newly ranked Linda Mwananchi movement, which entered the national standings in second place with 17 per cent support. Meanwhile, the Democracy for the Citizens Party (DCP) ranked fourth at 12 per cent.
Despite these shifting loyalties, voter apathy remains a defining factor. The proportion of Kenyans who remain undecided or unaffiliated with any political party held steady at 28 per cent, representing a crucial battleground for party leaders ahead of next year's polls.
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