However, the specific Nairobi figures could not be independently verified against a published TIFA report available at the time of writing.
In its June 2026 national survey, TIFA placed ODM at 20 per cent in overall party support, followed by UDA at 17 per cent and DCP at 12 per cent. The survey also found that 28 per cent of respondents did not identify with any political party.
The June survey was conducted between June 13 and June 22, 2026, through face-to-face interviews with 2,048 adults across all 47 counties. TIFA reported a national margin of error of plus or minus 2.18 percentage points.
Separately, an October 2026 national poll by Research 8020 placed Linda Mwananchi at 25 per cent, ahead of UDA at 23 per cent. DCP recorded nine per cent, while ODM and Wiper each received eight per cent.
The emergence of Linda Mwananchi has added another dimension to political realignments ahead of the 2027 elections. The movement is associated with Nairobi Senator Edwin Sifuna and other political leaders who have questioned ODM's cooperation with President William Ruto's administration.
The reported Nairobi figures, if confirmed, would indicate a competitive political landscape in the capital.
However, party affiliation surveys represent public opinion at a particular time and should not be interpreted as predictions of actual election results.https://x.com/citizentvkenya/status/2120798361255362580?a=pNaFuYYZKPSI-8WSV-Y&s=20
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