A survey released by TIFA Research in November 2026 shows significant changes in Kenyans' presidential preferences, with President William Ruto and Nairobi Senator Edwin Sifuna recording equal support.
According to the findings, both Ruto and Sifuna command 31 per cent of respondents' support, placing them at the same level in the survey.
Matiang’i has experienced the biggest decline among the established opposition figures tracked in the poll. His support, which stood at 32 per cent in August 2022, has dropped to just five per cent in November 2026.
The former Interior CS recorded 21 per cent in September 2025 before falling to 18 per cent in November 2025. His rating subsequently declined to 14 per cent in May and June 2026 before dropping further in the latest survey.
Kalonzo has also registered a downward trend after briefly recording strong support in November 2025.
The Wiper leader attracted 25 per cent in November 2025, but his rating declined to 19 per cent in May 2026, 13 per cent in June and nine per cent in November.
Meanwhile, Sifuna has experienced a significant increase in presidential preference over the same period.
The Nairobi Senator had not registered support in the earlier surveys conducted in August 2022, September 2025 and November 2025. However, he gained 10 per cent in May 2026 before rising to 15 per cent in June.
His latest rating of 31 per cent represents a substantial increase, placing him alongside the incumbent President.
Ruto, on his part, has maintained an upward trend, moving from 18 per cent in August 2022 to 24 per cent in May and June 2026 before reaching 31 per cent in November.
Gachagua's support has also declined, falling from nine per cent in May 2026 to four per cent in November.
Kiharu MP Ndindi Nyoro recorded one per cent, while other presidential aspirants collectively attracted one per cent.
https://peopledaily.digital/news/matiangi-kalonzo-support-decline-as-2027-presidential-showdown-nears-tifa
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