While President William Ruto and Nairobi Senator Edwin Sifuna tied at the top with 31 percent support each, several veteran opposition heavyweights recorded sharp declines in national voter preference.
According to Capital FM, Wiper Party leader Kalonzo Musyoka fell to 9 percent support in the November 2026 poll.
This marks a steady downward trajectory from his peak of 25 percent recorded in November 2025.
His rating had previously slipped to 19 percent in May 2026 and 13 percent in June 2026, leaving him a distant third behind the two frontrunners.
Jubilee Party presidential aspirant Fred Matiang’i registered 5 percent support, placing him fourth overall in the national ranking.
Data reported by People Daily shows the former Interior Cabinet Secretary has experienced the longest slide among major contenders.
His backing stood at 32 percent in August 2022 before falling to 21 percent in September 2025, 18 percent in November 2025, and 14 percent across May and June 2026.
Former Deputy President Rigathi Gachagua garnered four percent support in the November 12 survey, placing him fifth among potential presidential candidates.
Despite his public push to unite opposition factions, People Daily notes that the survey flagged Gachagua as a divisive figure within opposition ranks.
The poll further indicates that Sifuna has overtaken Gachagua as Mount Kenya's most preferred presidential choice.
The findings highlight a rapidly changing opposition dynamic as coalition negotiations intensify across the country.
Ultimately, their combined influence may depend on whether they rally behind a single candidate or run separate campaigns.
SOURCE
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