The findings, released on Thursday, November 12, 2026, capture changing political affiliations ahead of the 2027 General Election, with the ruling party recording an eight-percentage-point increase from the 17 per cent reported in June.
The survey also highlights the growing presence of Linda Mwananchi, which has secured substantial support despite its relatively recent emergence in the political arena.
The movement's performance comes amid disagreements within the Orange Democratic Movement (ODM), which has experienced internal divisions over its leadership and political direction. TIFA's latest assessment places ODM in third position.
Former Deputy President Rigathi Gachagua's Democracy for the Citizens Party (DCP) recorded nine per cent support, while Wiper Patriotic Front, associated with Kalonzo Musyoka, attracted five per cent. Jubilee Party, led by former President Uhuru Kenyatta, registered four per cent.
In its report, TIFA observed that UDA had regained its position as the country's most popular political party, while Linda Mwananchi had made a significant entry into the national political landscape.
The regional breakdown reveals considerable differences in UDA's support across the country.
Northern Kenya recorded the party's highest regional support at 60 per cent, followed by Central Rift at 56 per cent. UDA also registered 24 per cent in Coast, 22 per cent in Western and 20 per cent in both Lower Eastern and South Rift.
However, its support was considerably lower in Nairobi, where it attracted eight per cent, and in Mt Kenya, where it recorded 10 per cent.
The figures provide a glimpse into the geographical distribution of political party support, showing that UDA's national performance is not uniformly reflected across the regions.
For DCP, the nine per cent rating comes as Gachagua continues to build the party's national profile and establish political networks beyond its Mt Kenya base.
The survey was conducted between October 26 and November 5, 2026, through face-to-face interviews involving 2,036 randomly selected adults across all 47 counties.
The findings offer a snapshot of political party support at the time of the interviews. They do not determine how Kenyans will vote in the 2027 General Election, with political alliances, party campaigns and voter preferences still subject to change.
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