Tifa Survey Shows 43% Blame Gachagua for Opposition Wrangles, Only 15% Blame Ruto

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The survey, released on November 12, 2026, shows that 15 per cent of respondents blame President William Ruto and the UDA government for the divisions in the opposition.

The gap between the two figures is wide, with Gachagua scoring nearly three times as much as the President and his government.

The findings come at a time when opposition unity has been the central question in Kenyan politics, as leaders work out who should carry the banner against Ruto in the 2027 General Election.

Talks among figures such as Gachagua, Kalonzo Musyoka, Fred Matiang'i and Edwin Sifuna have been marked by public disagreements over leadership, the sharing of positions and the choice of a single presidential candidate.

The post does not say who the other respondents blamed, or how the remaining share was split among other leaders and groups.

It also does not give the sample size, the margin of error or the dates of the fieldwork, details that are important in judging how firmly the results reflect public opinion. It is also not clear whether the question was put to all respondents or only to those who follow the opposition closely.

The numbers are likely to stir debate among supporters of the former Deputy President, who has often accused the government of sponsoring divisions in the opposition.

Allies of the President, on the other hand, can be expected to point to the poll as proof that the opposition's troubles are of its own making. The survey measures perception and does not establish who is actually responsible for the disagreements.

The poll is part of a wider set of findings that Tifa has released this week, including the standing of presidential contenders and preferred running mates for Ruto. Together, they give an early picture of how Kenyans view the political field about a year before the election.

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