TIFA Survey Reveals Who Kenyans Blame Most for Divisions Within Opposition

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Former Deputy President Rigathi Gachagua has emerged as the politician most frequently blamed for disagreements within Kenya's opposition, according to a new survey by Trends and Insights For Africa (TIFA).

The survey indicates that 43 per cent of respondents perceive Gachagua as the main figure responsible for disagreements among opposition leaders, placing him ahead of other political figures.

President William Ruto and the ruling United Democratic Alliance (UDA) government were blamed by 15 per cent of respondents, according to the findings.

The results highlight the different perceptions among Kenyans regarding the ongoing disagreements and political realignments within the opposition as leaders position themselves ahead of the 2027 General Election.

The poll further identified several other opposition figures who were mentioned by respondents as contributing to the disagreements. Nairobi Senator Edwin Sifuna was cited by seven per cent, followed by Wiper Party leader Kalonzo Musyoka at six per cent.

Former Interior Cabinet Secretary Fred Matiang'i attracted four per cent, while Babu Owino, retired President Uhuru Kenyatta, Siaya Governor James Orengo and Kiharu MP Ndindi Nyoro each received two per cent. Trans Nzoia Governor George Natembeya was mentioned by one per cent.

The findings come at a time when opposition leaders are engaged in discussions on how to build a united political front capable of challenging President Ruto in the 2027 General Election.

Gachagua, who leads the Democracy for the Citizens Party (DCP), has been among the key figures involved in opposition unity discussions alongside Kalonzo, Sifuna, Matiang'i and other political leaders.

However, disagreements over leadership positions, political influence and the process of selecting a joint presidential candidate have continued to feature in the coalition-building efforts.

The survey was conducted between October 26 and November 5, 2026, through face-to-face interviews with 2,036 randomly selected Kenyan adults across all 47 counties.

TIFA reported a margin of error of plus or minus 2.16 percentage points.

The findings offer a snapshot of public perceptions of the opposition's internal disagreements as political parties and leaders intensify preparations for the next General Election.

They represent respondents' views and do not establish individual responsibility for the divisions. SportZone.

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