A survey released by TIFA Research on Thursday, November 12, 2026, places both Ruto and Sifuna at 31 per cent when Kenyans were asked about their preferred presidential candidate.
The findings mark a significant change in Sifuna's political standing, with the Linda Mwananchi Movement leader recording a sharp increase in support over recent months.
According to the survey, Sifuna had no significant recorded support in TIFA's earlier presidential preference surveys conducted between August 2022 and November 2025. However, his rating increased to 10 per cent in May 2026 before rising to 15 per cent in June.
His latest 31 per cent rating puts him alongside the incumbent President, whose support has also increased from 18 per cent in August 2022 to 31 per cent in November 2026.
The poll also highlights declining ratings among several opposition figures who have featured prominently in discussions about a possible united opposition presidential ticket.
Wiper Party leader Kalonzo Musyoka recorded nine per cent, a significant decline from his previous high of 25 per cent in May 2026.
Former Interior Cabinet Secretary Fred Matiang'i registered five per cent, down from 32 per cent in August 2022, while former Deputy President Rigathi Gachagua received four per cent.
Kiharu MP Ndindi Nyoro recorded one per cent in the latest findings.
Meanwhile, 15 per cent of respondents said they were undecided about their preferred presidential candidate, while another four per cent declined to disclose their choice.
TIFA's findings also provide an interesting picture of the political competition within the opposition, particularly as different leaders position themselves ahead of the 2027 election.
However, TIFA cautioned that presidential preference ratings should not automatically be interpreted as voting intentions. The combined support for opposition figures does not necessarily mean their supporters would automatically back one candidate if the opposition agreed on a common flagbearer.
The survey was conducted between October 26 and November 5, 2026, involving 2,036 Kenyan adults across all 47 counties through face-to-face interviews. It had a margin of error of plus or minus 2.16 percentage points.
The findings add another dimension to the political realignments taking shape as Kenya approaches the August 2027 General Election.
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