A survey released on Thursday, November 12, by Trends and Insights for Africa (TIFA) indicates that both Ruto and Sifuna command 31 per cent support among respondents nationwide. The results mean the Head of State has failed to establish a lead over the Nairobi senator, who has increasingly become a prominent figure in opposition politics.
The latest findings also point to a significant change in voter preferences compared to previous surveys conducted earlier in 2026. In May and June, TIFA placed Ruto at 24 per cent, maintaining his position ahead of other potential presidential contenders.
Meanwhile, Sifuna's popularity has been growing steadily. The senator recorded 10 per cent support in May before rising to 15 per cent in June, eventually matching the President at 31 per cent in the latest survey.
Sifuna has gained national political attention through his association with the Linda Mwananchi faction, which has been pushing a grassroots political agenda. His growing support could influence opposition strategies, particularly as different political leaders consider possible alliances ahead of the 2027 elections.
However, neither candidate has reached the constitutional requirements for winning the presidency based on the reported poll figures. Kenya's electoral laws require a presidential candidate to secure more than 50 per cent of valid votes cast and at least 25 per cent of the votes in 24 or more counties.
With the elections approaching, political alliances, regional support and undecided voters could prove decisive in determining who eventually succeeds in capturing State House in 2027.
Source: https://www.facebook.com/share/1HjNrqt6He/
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