The survey, published on Thursday, November 12, 2026, points to a changing political landscape ahead of the next General Election, with Sifuna recording a significant rise in popularity while Ruto also registers an increase in support.
According to the findings, Ruto's support has risen from 24 per cent in June 2026 to 31 per cent in November. Sifuna, on the other hand, has experienced a sharp increase, moving from 15 per cent in June to match the President at 31 per cent.
The results mark a notable shift for the Nairobi senator, who recorded no support in TIFA's presidential preference surveys conducted between August 2022 and November 2025. His growing popularity has placed him among the leading figures being considered in discussions about the 2027 presidential contest.
Former Vice-President Kalonzo Musyoka came third with nine per cent, followed by former Interior Cabinet Secretary Fred Matiang'i at five per cent. Former Deputy President Rigathi Gachagua recorded four per cent, while Kiharu MP Ndindi Nyoro received one per cent.
The survey also found that 15 per cent of respondents were undecided about their preferred presidential candidate, while four per cent declined to give an answer.
A comparison with previous surveys shows that several established opposition figures have experienced declining support. Kalonzo, who recorded 25 per cent in November 2025, has since dropped to nine per cent. Matiang'i, who previously led the rankings with 32 per cent in August 2022, now stands at five per cent.
Gachagua's support has also declined from seven per cent in June 2026 to four per cent in the latest survey.
The findings could intensify political discussions within the opposition, particularly over the possibility of agreeing on a single candidate to challenge Ruto in 2027. Sifuna's performance is likely to attract attention among opposition supporters as leaders consider their political strategies ahead of the election.
However, TIFA cautions against assuming that support for other opposition figures would automatically shift to Sifuna if a coalition arrangement were reached. Political loyalties, party interests and negotiations could influence voters' eventual decisions.
The research firm also noted that the figures represent respondents' preferred presidential winner rather than a direct prediction of how they will vote on election day.
With the 2027 General Election approaching, the findings offer an early indication of public political preferences. However, the figures could change as campaigns develop, candidates are formally identified and political alliances take shape.
For now, the equal ratings place Ruto and Sifuna at the centre of the latest national presidential popularity debate.
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