Ruto, Sifuna Tie at 31% in New Poll on Kenya’s Preferred 2027 Presidential Winner

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Former Vice-President Kalonzo Musyoka followed with 9 per cent, while former Interior Cabinet Secretary Fred Matiang’i received 5 per cent and former Deputy President Rigathi Gachagua 4 per cent. Kiharu MP Ndindi Nyoro and other candidates each received 1 per cent.

The poll recorded 15 per cent of respondents as undecided. A further 2 per cent said none of the candidates, while 2 per cent did not give a response, according to the published findings.

TIFA said the survey was conducted between October 26 and November 5 through face-to-face household interviews with 2,036 Kenyan adults aged 18 and above. The sample covered all 47 counties, and the research firm reported a margin of error of plus or minus 2.16 percentage points for the full sample. It cautioned that margins are larger for smaller sub-groups.

The results represent a shift from TIFA’s previous survey in June, when Ruto was at 24 per cent and Sifuna at 15 per cent, according to the research firm's published findings and reporting by The Standard. In the latest survey, both rose to 31 per cent.

TIFA said the November findings should be treated as a snapshot of public opinion during the fieldwork period, not a prediction of the eventual election outcome. It noted that political alliances, candidate selection and running-mate choices could still change before the 2027 vote.

The poll therefore places Ruto and Sifuna level in current preference ratings, while leaving a substantial share of respondents undecided.https://www.facebook.com/share/p/1JMNKw8RgX/

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