President William Ruto and Nairobi Senator Edwin Sifuna have emerged with equal levels of popularity among Kenyans asked who they would prefer to win the 2027 General Election, according to a new opinion poll conducted by Trends and Insights for Africa (TIFA).
The findings highlight the changing political conversations ahead of the next presidential election, with both leaders featuring prominently in the survey. According to the survey, Ruto and Sifuna each attracted 31% support, placing them ahead of other politicians mentioned as potential presidential candidates.
Wiper Party leader Kalonzo Musyoka ranked third with 9%, followed by Jubilee's Fred Matiang'i at 5%. Former Deputy President Rigathi Gachagua received 4%, while Kiharu MP Ndindi Nyoro recorded 1%.
The poll also examined regional support for the leading political figures. Ruto registered strong support in the Northern region at 62%, Central Rift at 59%, Coast at 40% and Nyanza at 35%.
On the other hand, Sifuna recorded his strongest backing in Western Kenya, where he attracted 55%. He also registered 39% in Nairobi, 32% in Mt Kenya and 31% in the South Rift.
Kalonzo dominated Lower Eastern with 55% support, while undecided respondents were particularly concentrated in Mt Kenya and Nairobi.
The survey further revealed interesting developments in political party popularity. The United Democratic Alliance (UDA) emerged as the country's most popular party with 25%, followed by Sifuna's Linda Mwananchi Movement at 17%. ODM's popularity dropped from 20% in TIFA's June survey to 10%.
TIFA conducted the research through face-to-face household interviews involving 2,036 randomly selected Kenyan adults aged 18 and above across all 47 counties.
The findings provide a snapshot of public opinion as political leaders position themselves ahead of the 2027 elections. However, the figures represent current preferences and should not be interpreted as a prediction of the eventual election outcome.
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