A new opinion poll has placed President William Ruto and Nairobi Senator Edwin Sifuna at the same level in voters' presidential preferences ahead of the 2027 General Election, with both politicians receiving 31 per cent support.
The survey, conducted by TIFA Research and released on Thursday, November 12, 2026, also shows changes in the ratings of several politicians who have featured prominently in discussions about the next presidential contest.
Sifuna's latest rating represents a rise from the 10 per cent recorded in May 2026. Ruto, meanwhile, has increased his support from 18 per cent in August 2022 to 31 per cent in the latest findings.
TIFA clarified that the question measured respondents' preferred presidential candidate, rather than whether they intended or expected to vote for that person in the election.
The results also place former Interior Cabinet Secretary Fred Matiang'i and Wiper Patriotic Front leader Kalonzo Musyoka behind the two leading figures. Matiang'i received five per cent, while Kalonzo recorded nine per cent.
Former Deputy President Rigathi Gachagua attracted four per cent support, while Kiharu MP Ndindi Nyoro received one per cent.
The research firm also examined what could happen if supporters of other opposition and potential presidential candidates rallied behind one person. Their combined support stood at 19 per cent, with TIFA noting that Sifuna's position could become significant in discussions about a possible joint opposition candidate.
However, the survey does not establish whether opposition parties or individual leaders would agree to support a single candidate.
Separately, TIFA asked respondents who support Ruto's re-election which politician they would prefer as his running mate.
Deputy President Kithure Kindiki emerged with 55 per cent, placing him ahead of the other personalities included in the question. Homa Bay Governor Gladys Wanga received 12 per cent, followed by Mining Cabinet Secretary Hassan Joho at nine per cent.
ODM leader Oburu Oginga, Prime Cabinet Secretary Musalia Mudavadi and National Assembly Speaker Moses Wetang'ula each received four per cent.
Cooperatives Cabinet Secretary Wycliffe Oparanya recorded two per cent, while Kirinyaga Governor Anne Waiguru received one per cent.
The findings provide a snapshot of political preferences as parties and leaders position themselves ahead of the 2027 election. They reflect the views measured by the survey and should not be treated as a prediction of the eventual election outcome.
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