Nairobi Senator Edwin Sifuna Outpaces Gachagua Among DCP Supporters in New TIFA Survey

The survey finds that 34 percent of declared DCP supporters favour Sifuna for the 2027 presidency, compared with 25 percent who prefer Gachagua. Nationally, the report positions Sifuna and President William Ruto as joint frontrunners in the 2027 presidential contest, with both leaders tied at 31 percent overall support.

Cross-Party Appeal: Beyond commanding 90 percent of his Linda Mwananchi Movement, Sifuna captured 34 percent preference among DCP followers and 33 percent among Orange Democratic Movement (ODM) supporters—trailing President Ruto’s 42 percent within ODM.

National Presidential Rankings: President Ruto and Senator Sifuna lead the national tally at 31 percent each. Wiper Patriotic Front leader Kalonzo Musyoka follows at 9 percent, former Interior Cabinet Secretary Fred Matiang’i registers 5 percent, while Gachagua stands at 4 percent nationally.

Party Strength Shifts: The United Democratic Alliance (UDA) reclaimed the lead in overall party affiliation at 25 percent (up from 17 percent in June 2026), followed by the Linda Mwananchi Movement at 17 percent, ODM at 10 percent, and DCP at 9 percent.

Coalition Friction Perceptions: Among opposition-aligned respondents, 43 percent identified Gachagua as the primary figure contributing to internal opposition disagreements over a joint 2027 ticket.

The polling data follows a series of high-profile political engagements between Sifuna and Gachagua, including an October 20 consultative meeting at Gachagua’s Wamunyoro residence in Nyeri County and joint appearances at Thika Green Stadium on November 7, 2026. During recent public addresses, Gachagua has signaled openness to deputizing Sifuna in a unified opposition arrangement while insisting that Mt. Kenya voters will demand structured policy negotiations before committing their votes.

Conducted between October 26 and November 5, 2026, across all 47 counties with a sample size of 2,036 adults and a margin of error of plus or minus 2.16 percentage points, the TIFA study underscores the fluidity of voter allegiances. While researchers cautioned that DCP party numbers do not automatically represent the broader Mt. Kenya electorate, the findings highlight growing pressure on opposition principals to finalize a cohesive joint ticket before early 2027.

sources: people daily