According to the latest Opinion Poll released by Politrack Africa on Thursday, November 12, 2026, Arama is leading the race with 22.6%. Atieno Achieng follows in second place with 18.2%, while Dr. Michael Cheruiyot follows with 15.3%. Eng. Victor Ngatia comes in fourth at 13.1%, trailed by CPA Robinas Makana with 11.6%.
Hon. Samuel Arama has established a reputation as a resilient political survivor in Nakuru County, consistently winning elections by navigating complex party shifts.
He first clinched the Nakuru Town West parliamentary seat in the 2013 general election on an Orange Democratic Movement (ODM) party ticket when The National Alliance (TNA) and the United Republican Party (URP) were very strong in Nakuru.
He then successfully defended his seat in the 2017 general election after switching allegiance to the Jubilee Party. In the 2022 general election, which was heavily defined by a massive United Democratic Alliance (UDA) wave across Nakuru County, Arama swam against the tide to retain his seat on a Jubilee Party ticket, securing 34,904 votes.
Arama is an ally of former Interior Cabinet Secretary Dr. Fred Matiang'i, openly backing him as a presidential contender. However, the legislator maintains a highly critical stance against former Deputy President Rigathi Gachagua.
Arama vehemently fired back, rejecting Gachagua's attempts to influence local voting patterns. Denouncing the DCP boss as a political bully, the MP asserted that Gachagua has absolutely no authority to control how the people of Nakuru Town West vote.
He told the DCP leader to restrict his political management to the voters of the Central Kenya region and leave Nakuru Town West to determine its own leadership.
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