The survey conducted by Trends and Insights for Africa (TIFA) between October 26 and November 5, 2026, found that 43 per cent of Kenyans oppose the political arrangement involving President William Ruto's United Democratic Alliance (UDA) and the Orange Democratic Movement (ODM). Meanwhile, 32 per cent expressed support for the partnership.
The findings provide an indication of the political environment facing the ruling arrangement as opposition leaders continue positioning themselves for the next General Election. However, the survey measured public attitudes towards the Broad-Based Government and did not directly compare it with the United Opposition in a head-to-head presidential contest.
The research also established that 15 per cent of respondents had not settled on a position regarding the arrangement, while 10 per cent said they did not know about it. This brings the proportion of Kenyans without a clear position or knowledge of the partnership to 25 per cent.
Regional responses revealed considerable differences in public opinion. Northern Kenya recorded the highest level of support for the Broad-Based Government at 68 per cent, followed by Central Rift at 57 per cent and Nyanza at 38 per cent. Western registered 37 per cent.
The arrangement received its weakest backing in Mt Kenya, where only 12 per cent supported it. Nairobi followed at 13 per cent, while Lower Eastern, Coast and South Rift recorded 21, 25 and 26 per cent respectively.
TIFA's previous surveys also indicate that opposition to the arrangement has gradually reduced from 56 per cent to the current 43 per cent. Despite this decline, support has remained relatively low, presenting a challenge for the political partnership as the country approaches the 2027 elections.
The latest survey involved 2,036 respondents interviewed across nine regions through face-to-face household interviews and had a margin of error of plus or minus 2.16 per cent.
Source: https://www.the-star.co.ke/news/2026-11-12-tifa-43-of-kenyans-against-broad-based-government?fbclid=IwZXh0bgNhZW0CMTEAcGRvZgNzcnRjBmFwcF9pZA8yNzUyNTQ2OTI1OTgyNzkAAR_EYBERmYA1pf-Tnf9V2iTYKsXAk2Aao2PshFwQu1_Akkt43OnGFExl96CvKA_aem_2YzfzOcUfbvC7XbDqTRAUw
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