Just In: UDA Leads in Latest TIFA Opinion Poll as ODM Support Drops to 10 Per Cent

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The United Democratic Alliance (UDA), led by President William Ruto, has emerged as the leading political party in the latest TIFA opinion poll, recording an increase in public support to 25 per cent in November 2026.

According to figures shared by Radio 47 on Thursday, November 12, 2026, UDA's popularity has increased from 17 per cent in June to 25 per cent in November, representing an eight-percentage-point rise.

The findings suggest growing support for the ruling party as the country continues to experience political realignments ahead of the 2027 General Election.

The survey also indicates a significant decline in support for the Orange Democratic Movement (ODM), whose popularity has reportedly dropped to 10 per cent, representing a 10-percentage-point decline from its previous position.

The development could raise concerns among ODM leaders as they seek to maintain their political influence and strengthen their support across the country.

Meanwhile, the Linda Mwananchi movement has secured third position with 17 per cent support, emerging as a significant political force in the latest survey.

Its performance suggests that the movement is attracting considerable attention among voters and could influence the country's political landscape in the coming months.

The Democracy for the Citizens Party (DCP) follows with 9 per cent, while the Wiper Democratic Movement commands 5 per cent support.

The Jubilee Party comes last among the listed political formations, recording 4 per cent.

The latest findings highlight the changing political dynamics in Kenya, with established political parties facing growing competition from emerging political movements.

UDA's improved performance could strengthen President Ruto's political position as he prepares for the next electoral contest.

However, the declining figures for ODM may prompt its leadership to reconsider its political strategy, strengthen grassroots mobilisation and reconnect with supporters.

With the 2027 General Election approaching, political parties and movements are expected to intensify their campaigns, alliances and voter mobilisation efforts.

Nevertheless, opinion polls represent public sentiment at a particular time and do not necessarily determine the final outcome of an election.

The political situation could change significantly as the country moves closer to the polls.

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