President William Ruto and Nairobi Senator Edwin Sifuna have emerged as joint front-runners in the 2027 presidential race, each commanding 31 per cent support, according to a new TIFA Research poll.
The survey, released on Thursday, November 12, places the two ahead of other contenders as support for several opposition figures continues to decline.
Ruto's numbers have climbed from 24 per cent in TIFA's May poll to 31 per cent now.
Sifuna's rise has been even sharper. He registered zero per cent in May 2025, rising to 10 per cent in May and 15 per cent in June before reaching 31 now.
Former Vice President Kalonzo Musyoka, once the leading opposition contender, has fallen to 9 per cent, down from 25 per cent in November 2025.
Former Interior Cabinet Secretary Fred Matiang'i has dropped to 5 per cent, from 14 per cent in June.
Former Deputy President Rigathi Gachagua attracted 4 per cent, down from a peak of 9 per cent recorded in May.
Kiharu MP Ndindi Nyoro registered 1 per cent, while other hopefuls collectively dropped to 1 per cent from a peak of 14 per cent in September 2025.
Undecided voters made up 15 per cent, down from 20 per cent in June.
TIFA's party-support numbers also put UDA at 25 per cent, with Linda Mwananchi at 17 and ODM at 10.
TIFA noted in May that the absence of a dominant opposition challenger could ultimately work in Ruto's favour.
Sifuna, who leads the Linda Mwananchi Movement Party, has been pushing for a single joint opposition ticket.
Gachagua has said the opposition is working towards identifying a single presidential candidate to face Ruto.
Kalonzo has said he could back Sifuna, but that polls must not pick the opposition ticket.
Meanwhile, ODM leader Oburu Odinga has announced the party will not field a presidential candidate in 2027 and backs Ruto's re-election bid.
Poll numbers are snapshots, not predictions, and a tie at 31 per cent is within any reasonable margin of error.
With the election less than a year away, the 2027 contest is heating up rapidly.
Link:
https://www.facebook.com/share/1H1JvdFKHh/
Leave a Reply