President William Ruto and Nairobi Senator Edwin Sifuna are tied at 31 per cent in the latest opinion poll tracking Kenyans’ preferred candidate for the 2027 presidential election, signalling a shift in the political landscape.
The findings, released by Trends and Insights for Africa (TIFA), show both leaders gaining ground compared with the previous survey in June. Ruto’s support has risen from 24 per cent to 31 per cent, while Sifuna has more than doubled his rating, moving from 15 per cent to the same level as the incumbent.
The two politicians are ahead of other potential contenders. Wiper leader Kalonzo Musyoka is at nine per cent, followed by former Interior Cabinet Secretary Fred Matiang’i at five per cent and former Deputy President Rigathi Gachagua at four per cent.
The poll also points to changes in political party support. The United Democratic Alliance (UDA), led by Ruto, has regained the top position with 25 per cent, up from 17 per cent in June. The Linda Mwananchi movement, associated with Sifuna, is second with 17 per cent, while the Orange Democratic Movement (ODM) has fallen to 10 per cent from 20 per cent.
The findings suggest a changing balance among political formations, with Linda Mwananchi registering substantial national support while ODM records a decline. However, 28 per cent of respondents said they were undecided or did not identify with any party, indicating that many voters remain politically unattached.
TIFA conducted the survey between October 26 and November 5, 2026, interviewing 2,036 adults across all 47 counties through face-to-face interviews.
The results offer a snapshot of public preference at the time of the survey, rather than a prediction of the eventual election outcome. Political alliances, campaign platforms and voter priorities may shift before Kenyans head to the ballot in August 2027.
Source: https://www.facebook.com/100064434804092/posts/1592067709617707/?app=fbl
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