2027 Presidential Race: New Poll Shows William Ruto Likely to Defeat Kalonzo, Sifuna

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Harry Ivan Mboto is a Current Affairs and Politics Editor at TUKO.co.ke, covering political and world news. Mboto has five years of journalism experience and joined TUKO.co.ke in 2024

President William Ruto has maintained his lead in the 2027 presidential race, with a new national opinion poll placing him ahead of Kalonzo Musyoka and Edwin Sifuna.

Ruto likely to beat Kalonzo, Sifuna

According to a survey by Swiss Poll International, Ruto commands 37% support among respondents, giving him a nine-percentage-point lead over his closest challenger, Kalonzo Musyoka, who has garnered 28%.

Nairobi Senator Edwin Sifuna occupies the third position with 15% support, according to the findings released following interviews conducted between November 5 and November 10, 2026.

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Former deputy president Rigathi Gachagua and former Interior Cabinet Secretary Fred Matiang’i are tied at 6% each, while Kiharu MP Ndindi Nyoro has attracted 4% support.

Other presidential hopefuls collectively account for 1% of respondents, while 3% remain undecided about their preferred candidate.

The findings position Ruto ahead of the other potential contenders, with Kalonzo recording the highest support among the opposition figures included in the survey.

The poll was conducted through telephonic interviews involving 4,113 respondents. However, the published findings did not provide details on the survey's margin of error or the distribution of respondents across the country.

The latest findings come amid growing political realignments and discussions over who will carry the opposition's presidential ticket in the August 2027 General Election.

In a separate national opinion poll released by TIFA Research on Thursday, November 12, Ruto and Sifuna emerged as joint frontrunners, each commanding 31% support.

Kalonzo followed with 9%, while Fred Matiang'i and Rigathi Gachagua recorded 5% and 4%, respectively. TIFA's survey involved 2,036 respondents interviewed between October 26 and November 5 across all 47 counties.

Source: TUKO.co.ke

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