UDA Retains Top Position as Linda Mwananchi Surges Past ODM in TIFA Survey

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The Linda Mwananchi Movement (LMM) has emerged as Kenya’s second most popular political formation, attracting 17 per cent support in the latest TIFA survey, according to the figures released.

The movement, which was not featured in previous party rankings, now trails the United Democratic Alliance (UDA), which has reclaimed the top position with 25 per cent support.

UDA’s backing rose from 17 per cent in June to 25 per cent in November 2026, placing it ahead of other political parties in the latest survey.

The Orange Democratic Movement (ODM), which previously held the lead, dropped to third place after its support declined from 20 per cent to 10 per cent over the same period.

The Democracy for Citizens Party (DCP), associated with former Deputy President Rigathi Gachagua, recorded 9 per cent support. Wiper attracted 5 per cent, while Jubilee stood at 4 per cent.

Despite the changes in party rankings, a significant number of Kenyans remain undecided. The survey found that 28 per cent of respondents had not settled on a political party, leaving a sizeable section of the electorate without a clear political preference.

Regionally, UDA recorded its strongest support in Northern Kenya at 60 per cent and Central Rift at 56 per cent. Its backing was lower in Nairobi, where it stood at 8 per cent, and Mt Kenya at 10 per cent.

LMM, meanwhile, registered its strongest showing in Western Kenya, where it attracted 40 per cent support. The movement also recorded 26 per cent in Nairobi and 18 per cent in Nyanza.

ODM retained its strongest support in Nyanza at 33 per cent, while DCP's backing was highest in Mt Kenya at 27 per cent. Wiper dominated Lower Eastern with 50 per cent, while Jubilee's strongest showing was in Nyanza at 10 per cent.

The survey also showed that indecision remained high in Coast and Mt Kenya, where 38 per cent of respondents had yet to identify with a political party.

The findings come amid political realignments ahead of the August 2027 General Election, with LMM leader Edwin Sifuna recently receiving several politicians who defected from UDA and ODM.

LINK: https://www.kenyans.co.ke/news/129325-linda-mwananchi-overtakes-odm-second-uda-still-leads-latest-tifa-survey?fbclid=IwZXh0bgNhZW0CMTEAcGRvZgRzcnRjBmFwcF9pZA80MDk5NjI2MjMwODU2MDkAAR9GKdLWUQ_AUp-neMeapL__T8UVHnmzAxBPwhotWetIiDx_7aaiuYeaSlT5aQ_aem_6Q3zrHPuq2tydoCKUUidng

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