The survey, released on Thursday, November 12, 2026, by Trends and Insights for Africa (TIFA), places President William Ruto and Nairobi Senator Edwin Sifuna at 31 per cent each. The figures indicate that neither politician has managed to establish an advantage over the other despite their different political positions.
The results come at a time when political activities are gaining momentum ahead of the August 2027 General Election. Ruto is seeking to retain his position, while Sifuna's growing national profile has introduced another dimension to the competition, particularly within opposition politics.
Sifuna has attracted considerable attention through his association with the Linda Mwananchi movement, which has been advocating for a grassroots-driven political approach. His latest performance marks a notable improvement compared to earlier TIFA surveys, where he received 10 per cent support in May before rising to 15 per cent in June.
Ruto, on the other hand, had maintained support of approximately 24 per cent in the May and June surveys. The latest results therefore suggest changing voter preferences, with the President facing a stronger challenge from a politician whose national popularity has continued to grow.
However, the reported figures do not provide a clear indication of who would eventually occupy State House. Kenya's presidential election requirements demand that the winner secure more than half of the valid votes cast and at least 25 per cent of the votes in 24 counties.
With neither politician close to meeting that threshold in the reported survey, political partnerships, regional influence and undecided voters could significantly shape the outcome of the 2027 contest. The poll also highlights how unpredictable the presidential race could become as election day approaches.
Source: https://www.the-star.co.ke/news/2026-11-12-ruto-sifuna-tie-in-2027-presidential-poll?fbclid=IwZXh0bgNhZW0CMTEAcGRvZgNzcnRjBmFwcF9pZA8yNzUyNTQ2OTI1OTgyNzkAAR9kmsPVNiIArFX_lcsm3hZjf2MSIO7Wsqbbmd_agw2-lHEJZhF2TcItlnTepA_aem_9zYZ_xOo3Ut3KqPJXXqi_w
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