The Linda Mwananchi Movement has emerged as the most popular political formation in Nairobi, attracting 26 per cent support, according to a new opinion poll released by Trends and Insights for Africa (TIFA) Research on November 12, 2026.
The findings mark a significant development in Kenya's changing political landscape as emerging political movements compete with established parties ahead of the 2027 General Election.
According to the survey, Linda Mwananchi recorded 26 per cent support in Nairobi, placing it ahead of other political formations in the capital. The results highlight the movement's growing influence in a county that plays a significant role in shaping national political debates.
The survey placed the Democracy for the Citizens Party (DCP) at 11 per cent, ODM at nine per cent and the United Democratic Alliance (UDA) at eight per cent. Wiper Patriotic Front and Jubilee Party each recorded seven per cent.
However, 31 per cent of Nairobi respondents said they did not identify with any political party. This indicates that a significant section of the electorate remains undecided, presenting an opportunity for political formations seeking to expand their support.
The strong showing by Linda Mwananchi is particularly important because Nairobi has a diverse electorate with competing political interests. Its popularity could strengthen the movement's position as politicians begin preparing for the next general election.
The movement is associated with Nairobi Senator Edwin Sifuna, Embakasi East MP Babu Owino and other leaders who have been advocating for a different political direction.
Nationally, however, the survey presented a different picture. UDA maintained the lead with 25 per cent support, followed by Linda Mwananchi at 17 per cent. ODM recorded 10 per cent, while DCP attracted nine per cent.
The findings also highlighted a decline in ODM's national popularity. The party had recorded 20 per cent support in TIFA's June 2026 survey, but its rating dropped to 10 per cent in the latest poll.
Linda Mwananchi's performance in Western Kenya was also notable, with the movement attracting 40 per cent support. In Nyanza, it recorded 18 per cent, while ODM maintained a stronger position with 33 per cent.
These regional differences demonstrate that political support remains uneven across the country, with established parties retaining considerable influence in some areas.
TIFA conducted the survey between October 26 and November 5, 2026. It involved face-to-face interviews with 2,036 randomly selected Kenyan adults aged 18 and above across all 47 counties.
The findings provide an important indication of voter preferences as political competition intensifies ahead of the 2027 elections. However, opinion polls reflect public sentiment at the time of the survey and do not necessarily predict actual election results.
For Linda Mwananchi, securing the highest support among political formations in Nairobi is a significant achievement. The challenge now will be maintaining that popularity, attracting undecided voters and expanding its support beyond the regions where it has performed strongly.
As the 2027 General Election approaches, the latest TIFA findings have placed the movement among the political formations attracting considerable attention. Its ability to turn the reported support into votes will be determined by how effectively it builds its national presence.
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