According to the latest Opinion Poll that was released by Politrack Africa on Thursday, November 12, 2026, Chelule is ahead in the race with 16.2%. In second place is Gladys Kamuren with 12.8%, while Eunice Muriithi follows with 11.7%.
Philomena Mwaniki comes in fourth at 10.2%, trailed by Zippy Wambui with 8.3%. Leah Jepkoech Serem sits in sixth place with 7.4%, ahead of Doreen Korir at 6.8% and Rosaline Chebet (Kuresoi) at 6.4%.
Chelule is serving her second term as the Nakuru County Woman Representative after being re-elected in the 2022 general election on the United Democratic Alliance (UDA) ticket.
Having first been elected to the position in 2017 on a Jubilee Party ticket, and previously serving as a nominated Senator between 2013 and 2017, she is now seeking to defend her seat for a third consecutive term.
A staunch ally of President William Ruto, Chelule remains a key figure in the ruling UDA party in Nakuru County, banking on her development record and grassroots mobilization to fend off stiff competition from a crowded field of challengers in the 2027 polls.
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