According to the survey, Ruto's support has grown steadily from 18 per cent in August 2022 to 31 per cent in November 2026. Sifuna's rise has been sharper. He had no recorded support between 2022 and 2025, but climbed to 31 per cent this month, which makes him a joint frontrunner.
The numbers for the other opposition names tell a different story. Wiper leader Kalonzo Musyoka peaked at 25 per cent in November 2025 but has declined to 9 per cent.
Former Cabinet Secretary Fred Matiang'i has fallen steadily from 32 per cent in August 2022 to 5 per cent, while former Deputy President Rigathi Gachagua, who peaked at 9 per cent in May 2026, is now at 4 per cent. Tinderet-based Nyoro is a new entry at 1 per cent. Other candidates combined stand at 1 per cent.
The survey also shows that 15 per cent of respondents remain undecided, down from 20 per cent in June 2026, while 4 per cent gave no response. Tifa says the results cover all respondents, and its summary notes that support for other presidential aspirants continues to decline.
Reacting on her X account, Pauline Njoroge welcomed the poll as one that people had been waiting for. She claimed that the pollster channelled some of the undecided numbers to Ruto, but said it is still clear who the undisputed opposition flag bearer must be, naming Sifuna.
She added that Prime Cabinet Secretary Musalia Mudavadi, whom she said is still waiting to inherit the presidency in 2032, is polling at just 4 per cent among Ruto's preferred running mates.
Her claims about how undecided voters were treated are her own opinion, and the figure for Mudavadi does not appear in the presidential poll results shared with the post.
If the figures hold, they could sharpen the debate over who should carry the opposition banner in 2027, a question that has divided leaders in the camp for months.
Link; https://x.com/paulinenjoroge/status/2120808019520807037?a=dyWi8ipooqNJJD_Wt8I&s=19
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