President William Ruto and Nairobi Senator Edwin Sifuna have emerged as joint front-runners in the race for the 2027 presidential election, according to a new opinion poll released by TIFA Research on Thursday, November 12.
The survey places both leaders at 31 per cent, highlighting changing political preferences as different camps position themselves ahead of the next General Election.
Sifuna's rating has increased significantly, rising from 15 per cent in June 2026 to 31 per cent in November. Ruto's support also increased from 24 per cent recorded in June to reach the same level.
The findings place the two leaders ahead of other potential presidential candidates, including Wiper leader Kalonzo Musyoka, who recorded nine per cent.
Former Interior Cabinet Secretary Fred Matiang'i received five per cent, while former Deputy President Rigathi Gachagua recorded four per cent. Another 15 per cent of respondents said they were undecided about their preferred presidential candidate.
The survey also examined political party popularity, with the ruling United Democratic Alliance (UDA) emerging as the most popular political outfit nationally at 25 per cent.
The Linda Mwananchi Movement, associated with Sifuna, came second with 17 per cent, while the Orange Democratic Movement (ODM) recorded 10 per cent. DCP followed with nine per cent.
The findings come amid disagreements within ODM over its relationship with President Ruto's administration and the political direction the party should take ahead of the 2027 elections.
Meanwhile, Sifuna has continued expanding the Linda Mwananchi Movement, defending his decision to bring former Meru Governor Kawira Mwangaza into its leadership as deputy party leader.
He described Mwangaza as an important mobiliser with influence in the Mount Kenya East region.
The movement is also preparing for its National Delegates Conference scheduled for Friday, November 13, to formalise its transition from The Equitable Party.
However, the planned conference faces a legal challenge from a party member who has petitioned the Political Parties Disputes Tribunal over the process used to establish the movement's leadership.
The latest poll provides a snapshot of changing political preferences, with several months remaining before Kenyans head to the ballot in August 2027.

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