According to TIFA Research, Nairobi Senator Edwin Sifuna has officially caught up with President William Ruto at the top of voter preferences.
Both leaders now command an equal 31 percent support rating ahead of the August 2027 General Election.
This finding marks a remarkable surge for Sifuna, who leads the Linda Mwananchi movement.
Data published by Kenyans.co.ke indicates Sifuna's backing jumped from 10 percent in May 2026 to 31 percent in November 2026.
President Ruto also experienced upward momentum, climbing from 24 percent in earlier TIFA ratings to 31 percent, as reported by NTV Kenya.
While the top two candidates gained ground, other prominent opposition figures saw sharp declines in their approval numbers.
Details shared by The Eastleigh Voice show Wiper leader Kalonzo Musyoka trailing in third place with 9 percent support.
Former Interior Cabinet Secretary Fred Matiang'i follows in fourth position with 5 percent, while former Deputy President Rigathi Gachagua recorded 4 percent.
Figures cited by Radio Kaya also reveal that Kiharu MP Ndindi Nyoro and other minor contenders each garnered 1 percent.
The November 12, 2026 survey highlights a significant realignment among Kenyan voters as traditional opposition bases shift toward newer faces.
Despite Sifuna not yet being formally selected as a joint opposition flagbearer, his rapid ascent places him neck and neck with the incumbent.
Furthermore, Radio Kaya notes that 15 percent of respondents remain undecided about their preferred presidential candidate.
Another 2 percent stated they would not back any contender, while 2 percent declined to answer the pollsters.
Because voter preferences are constantly evolving ahead of the August 2027 ballot, these poll numbers reflect public sentiment only at the time of release and could change as new political alliances form.
With two candidates locked in a dead heat, the road to 2027 promises intense political maneuvering across the country.
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